Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1064.905909 1206.335529 1363.008036 1550.040728 1768.020818 2014.976596 2317.251282
2025-09-07 857.730178 1047.476414 1277.254781 1578.590784 1967.171616 2456.591346 3127.971540
2025-09-14 715.324652 916.079492 1173.443214 1532.388158 2027.768552 2698.905579 3697.082263
2025-09-21 616.307655 818.931168 1090.538146 1488.375393 2068.464941 2903.132116 4232.206668
2025-09-28 538.682817 737.752154 1014.596855 1437.071653 2082.501078 3060.649435 4714.453586
2025-10-05 505.823306 713.470259 1012.859164 1488.718995 2250.646720 3468.202990 5659.272466
2025-10-12 471.099191 681.688096 995.028754 1511.270793 2373.247375 3818.433663 6573.098840
2025-10-19 439.319328 650.413115 973.531615 1523.550929 2478.025039 4151.507580 7519.919645
2025-10-26 411.446238 622.027709 952.865822 1533.344055 2577.748153 4488.315845 8541.286085
2025-11-02 393.504814 607.342024 952.099587 1575.648873 2739.369707 4962.878942 9944.780445
2025-11-09 374.185449 588.434568 942.070557 1599.723679 2869.374334 5396.154462 11359.722567
2025-11-16 355.381667 568.593712 928.260913 1614.728455 2982.971789 5813.704801 12839.089908
2025-11-23 336.616014 547.817547 911.855573 1624.908599 3092.538934 6251.226419 14508.458357
2025-11-30 322.282521 533.586925 905.849443 1654.580184 3247.544013 6820.134134 16687.452469
2025-12-07 298.512597 500.667775 862.737694 1605.779614 3227.291261 6981.754816 17809.200712
2025-12-14 277.406383 470.936418 822.969954 1559.281270 3205.362240 7135.080195 18953.377931
2025-12-21 257.312846 441.618810 781.601268 1505.098444 3158.635103 7219.054128 19917.701596
2025-12-28 251.874530 439.044334 791.273372 1559.644265 3372.683787 8011.841677 23385.500470
2026-01-04 243.277264 429.819955 787.041666 1583.467490 3516.613533 8648.892409 26577.340810
2026-01-11 234.142153 418.876348 778.403492 1596.441417 3635.588762 9242.329467 29849.738827
2026-01-18 225.394466 408.055009 769.088799 1606.788558 3749.488801 9846.403432 33415.433373
2026-01-25 220.475083 404.432924 774.319369 1651.494019 3961.115800 10793.717873 38789.043166
2026-02-01 214.058173 397.336532 771.605653 1676.940264 4124.758228 11631.462720 44117.371448